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The Cambridge-INET Institute - continuing as the Janeway Institute


Can You Predict the Risk of Armed Conflict in the World?

La Vanguardia newspaper has published an article that reports on Dr. Christopher Rauh's new model for forecasting conflict. The article looks at the Conflict Forecast web portal, that has been set up by scientists from the Institute of Economic Analysis of the Higher Council for Scientific Research (CSIC), Barcelona GSE and the University of Cambridge, to provide policy makers with early warning before existing tensions lead to armed conflict.

La Vanguardia - Can you predict the risk of armed conflict in the world? (in Spanish).

Conflict Forecast Web Portal -

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Risk Estimation

Theme: transmission