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Predicting When Conflict Breaks Out: A Hard Problem

Dr Christopher Rauh is proposing a new model for forecasting conflict, which could predict when outbreaks of violence might escalate and spill into armed conflict.

Published on: Thursday 25th March 2021

Tags:

Conflict

Prediction

Models

Risk Estimation

Theme: transmission


Can You Predict the Risk of Armed Conflict in the World?

La Vanguardia newspaper has published an article that reports on Dr. Christopher Rauh's new model for forecasting conflict.

Published on: Friday 26th March 2021

Tags:

Conflict

Prediction

Models

Risk Estimation

Theme: transmission


Holy Wars: Temple Desecrations in Medieval India

Dr. Sriya Iyer's Working Paper "Holy Wars: Temple Desecrations in Medieval India" (Cambridge-INET Working Paper wp1702 and Cambridge Working Papers in Economics cwpe1705) features in an article she (with Anand Shrivastava and Rohit Ticku) has written for Ideas of India.

Published on: Monday 27th March 2017

Tags:

Conflict

Religion

Politics

Assassination


Why We Fail to Prevent Civil Wars

Dr. Christopher Rauh and Hannes Mueller have written an article for VoxEU on "Why We Fail to Prevent Civil Wars: A Forecaster’s Perspective".

Published on: Friday 28th October 2016

Tags:

Civil Wars

Conflict