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Working Papers




Bottom-up Markup Fluctuations
Burstein, A., Carvalho, V. M. and Grassi, B. (WP2045)


Modelling Demand for ESG
Ahmed, M. F., Gao, Y. and Satchell, S. (WP2043)


Regional Heterogeneity and U.S. Presidential Elections
Ahmed, R. and Pesaran, M. H. (WP2042)

A Simulation Study of How Religious Fundamentalism Takes Root
Friedman, D., Fan, J., Gair, J., Iyer, S., Redlicki, B. and Velu, C. (WP2041)


A Counterfactual Economic Analysis of Covid-19 Using a Threshold Augmented Multi-Country Model
Chudik, A., Mohaddes, K., Pesaran, M. H., Raissi, M. and Rebucci, A. (WP2040)

Learning in a Small/Big World
Leung, B. T. K. (WP2039)



Furloughing
Adams-Prassl, A., Boneva, T., Golin, M. and Rauh, C. (WP2036)

Slums and Pandemics
Brotherhood, L., Cavalcanti, T., Da Mata, D. and Santos, C. (WP2035)


Common Short Selling and Excess Comovement
Geraci, M. V., Gnabo, J-Y. and Veredas, D. (WP2034)


No Holdup in Dynamic Markets
Elliott, M. and Talamàs, E. (WP2032)


Systemic Risk-Shifting in Financial Networks
Elliott, M., Georg, C-P. and Hazell, J. (WP2030)


Gravity in International Finance: Evidence From Fees on Equity Transactions
Milsom, L., Pazitka, V., Roland, I. and Wójcik, D. (WP2028)

Bank Default Risk Propagation along Supply Chains: Evidence from the U.K.
Spatareanu, M., Manole, V., Kabiri, A. and Roland, I. (WP2027)


Herding in Quality Assessment: An Application to Organ Transplantation
De Mel, S., Munshi, K., Reiche, S. and Sabourian, H. (WP2026)

The Bond Lending Channel of Monetary Policy
Darmouni, O., Giesecke, O. and Rodnyansky, R. (WP2025)



The Unequal Effects of Covid-19 on Economists' Research Productivity
Amano-Patiño, N., Faraglia, E., Giannitsarou, C. and Hasna, Z. (WP2022)

The Impact of the Coronavirus Lockdown on Mental Health: Evidence from the US
Adams-Prassl, A., Boneva, T., Golin, M. and Rauh, C. (WP2021)


More than Words: Leaders' Speech and Risky Behavior During a Pandemic
Ajzenman, N., Cavalcanti, T. and Da Mata, D. (WP2019)


Inequality in the Impact of the Coronavirus Shock: Evidence from Real Time Surveys
Adams-Prassl, A., Boneva, T., Golin, M. and Rauh, C. (WP2018)

Social Distancing and Supply Disruptions in a Pandemic
Bodenstein, M., Corsetti, G. and Guerrieri, L. (WP2017)


Tracking the COVID-19 Crisis with High-Resolution Transaction Data
Carvalho, V. M., Garcia, J. R., Hansen, S., Ortiz, Á., Rodrigo, T., Rodríguez Mora, J. V.and Ruiz, J. (WP2016)

On the Influence of Top Journals
Ductor, L., Goyal, S., van der Leij, M. and Paez, G. N. (WP2015)


Supply Network Formation and Fragility
Elliott, M., Golub, B. and Leduc, M. V. (WP2014)



Inequality in the Impact of the Coronavirus Shock: New Survey Evidence for the UK
Adams-Prassl, A., Boneva, T., Golin, M. and Rauh, C. (WP2010)

Inequality in the Impact of the Coronavirus Shock: New Survey Evidence for the US
Adams-Prassl, A., Boneva, T., Golin, M. and Rauh, C. (WP2009)



Information Overload and Confirmation Bias
Goette, L., Han, H. J. and Leung, B. T. K. (WP2006)


Debt Crises, Fast and Slow
Corsetti, G. and Maeng, S. H. (WP2004)

The Elusive Gains from Nationally-Oriented Monetary Policy
Bodenstein, M., Corsetti, G. and Guerrieri, L. (WP2003)


Brokerage
Choi, S., Goyal, S. and Moisan, F. (WP2002)

Spurious Factor Analysis
Onatski, A. and Wang, C. (WP2001)


A ReMeDI for Microstructure Noise
Merrick Li, Z. and Linton, O. (WP1924)

Influencers and Communities in Social Networks
Chen, C. Y-H., Härdle, W. K. and Klochkov, Y. (WP1923)


Exchange Rate Risk and Business Cycles
Lloyd, S. P. and Marin, E. A. (WP1922)

The Growth Effects of El Niño and La Niña: Local Weather Conditions Matter
Couharde, C., Damette, O., Generoso, R., Mohaddes, K. (WP1921)


Checking Cheap Talk
Ball, I. and Gao, X. (WP1919)


Semiparametric Single-index Predictive Regression
Zhou, W., Gao, J., Harris, D. and Kew, H. (WP1918)

Emerging Markets and the Conditional CAPM
Ahmed, M. F. and Satchell, S. (WP1917)



Long-Term Macroeconomic Effects of Climate Change: A Cross-Country Analysis
Kahn, M. E., Mohaddes, K., Ng, R. N. C., Pesaran, M. H., Raissi, M. and Yang, J-C. (WP1913)


Games on Multi-Layer Networks
Walsh, A. M. (WP1912)

Trading in Complex Networks
Cardoso, F. M., Gracia-Lázaro, C., Moisan, F., Goyal, S., Sánchez, A. and Moreno, Y. (WP1911)


Connectors and Influencers
Choi, S., Goyal, S. and Moisan, F. (WP1909)







Debt Sustainability and the Terms of Official Support
Corsetti, G., Erce, A. and Uy, T. (WP1817)

Economic Shocks and Temple Desecrations in Medieval India
Ticku, R., Shrivastava, A. and Iyer, S. (WP1816)



Production Networks: A Primer
Carvalho, V. M. and Tahbaz-Salehi, A. (WP1813)

Culture and Colonial Legacy: Evidence from Public Goods Games
Chaudhary, L., Rubin, J., Iyer, S. and Shrivastava, A. (WP1812)



Debt Seniority and Sovereign Debt Crises
Ari, A., Corsetti, G. and Dedola, L. (WP1809)



Markets and Markups: A New Empirical Framework and Evidence on Exporters from China
Corsetti, G., Crowley, M., Han, L. and Song, H. (WP1805)

A Network Approach to Public Goods
Elliott, M. and Golub, B. (WP1804)


Heterogeneity and Networks
Goyal, S. (WP1803)

Time-Consistently Undominated Policies
Brendon, C. and Ellison, M. (WP1802)



Targeting Interventions in Networks
Galeotti, A., Golub, B. and Goyal, S. (WP1721)

Commitment and (In)Efficiency: A Bargaining Experiment
Agranov, M. and Elliott, M. (WP1720)



Returns to On-the-Job Search and the Dispersion of Wages
Gottfries, A. and Teulings, T. (WP1717)





Can Italy Grow Out of Its NPL Overhang? A Panel Threshold Analysis
Mohaddes, K., Raissi, M. and Weber, A. (WP1709)

Integration and Diversity
Goyal, S., Hernández, P., Martínez-Cánovasz, G., Moisan, F., Muñoz-Herrera, M. and Sánchez, A. (WP1708)




Holy Wars? Temple desecrations in Medieval India
Iyer, S., Shrivastava, A., Ticku, R. (WP1703)

The Strategy of Conquest
Dziubinski, M., Goyal, S. and Minarsch, D. E. N. (WP1702)



Supply Chain Disruptions: Evidence from the Great East Japan Earthquake
Carvalho, V. M., Nirei, M., Saito, Y. U. and Tahbaz-Salehi, A. (WP1625)







Reconstruction multipliers
Trezzi, R. and Porcelli, F. (WP1613)







Financial Linkages, Portfolio Choice and Systemic Risk
Galeotti, A., Ghiglinoy , C. and Goyal, S. (WP1602)

Religion and Depression in Adolescence
Cooley Fruehwirth, J., Iyer, S. and Zhang, A. (WP1601)


Information Acquisition and Exchange in Social Networks
Goyal, S., Rosenkranz, S., Weitze, U. and Buskens, V. (WP1523)

Conflict and Networks
Dziubinski, M., Goyal, S. and Vigier, A. (WP1522)




Nonparametric Euler Equation Identification andEstimation
Escanciano, J. C., Hoderlein, S., Lewbel, A. and Linton, O. (WP1517)






Input Diffusion and the Evolution of Production Networks
Carvalho, V. M. and Voigtländer, N. (WP1507)

Social Structure, Markets and Inequality
Gagnon, J. and Goyal, S. (WP1506)


Contagion Risk and Network Design
Cerdeiro, D., Dziubinski, M. and Goyal, S. (WP1504)






Network Cognition
Dessi, R., Gallo, E. and Goyal, S. (WP1413)

Gender, Social Networks And Performance
Lindenlaub, I. and Prummer, A. (WP1412)


Categorization and Coordination
Daskalova, V. and Vriend, N. (WP1411)

Multivariate Variance Ratio Statistics
Hong, S. Y., Linton, O. and Zhang , H. J. (WP1410)


Interaction, Protection and Epidemics
Goyal, S. and Vigier, A. (WP1409)

Trading in Networks: Theory and Experiments
Cho, S., Galeotti, A. and Goyal, S. (WP1408)


Winning the Oil Lottery: The Impact of Natural Resource Extraction on Growth
Cavalcanti, T. V. D., Da Mata, D. and Toscani, F. (WP1406)



Attack, Defense and Contagion in Networks
Goyal, S. and Vigier, A. (WP1402)

How to Defend a Network?
Dziubinski, M. and Goyal, S. (WP1401)